2009 Predictions From Various Domainers That You Can’t Live Without!
January 5, 2009 · by Scott
I had an idea to get the opinions of a bunch of domainers on what they feel were solid upcoming trends for 2009. Unfortunately, there didn’t seem to be much interest in participating, as only 11 of 29 replied. To those 11, many thanks and I appreciate your time. To the other 18… party poopers!
Anyways, I received a good variety of trend predictions for 2009. Many, including mine, seem to focus on technology. Part of that is because domainers tend to be tech savvy, the other part is that I think most people feel we’re in for a big exciting year in technology.
Reece over at LLLL.com posted his over on his blog, check them out here.
I will get things started with my own predictions:
- Portable/Mobile Computing/Tech. Not necessarily netbooks, but GPS, Google Phone, Android, PicoP and Kindle. I think Android can be absolutely monstrous. Netbooks will be big for a year perhaps, but will quickly lose popularity when people realize the one and only benefit is their smaller size. When they can’t multi-task or use those intense web apps, or get sick of the small keyboard/screen, they’ll go back to regular laptops. Throw in the disgustingly fast USB 3.0, and data transfer to these devices will be quick.
- Green IT and Solid-State Drives. Prices for just about anything related to the home PC have come down; RAM is sick cheap, dual core processors won’t be outdated as fast. About the only revolution we’re waiting for is getting these things to use less energy. SSD’s utilize the same technology that you find in USB flash drives, as opposed to the rotating platters of the now old-fashioned HDD. They made a big splash in the second half of 2008, and should be one of the top stories of 2009. Checking over at Newegg, you will see that they already have more than 50 SSD’s in their catalog. Some of the larger capacity SSD’s are still quite expensive, but you can get 30GB for under $100. These are ideal for OS installations since they are fast and silent.
- HTPC, Home Streaming and On-Demand Video. I think there will eventually be a home server or box in every household that will either store your movie library or give you access to one in the cloud. Home servers, or home theater PCs (HTPC) will become big keywords. Putting together an HTPC is not terribly expensive, especially now that storage is outrageously cheap.
- Retail Stores and Malls Will Close Up and Move Online. I think with the end of the Harry Potter series, book stores are doomed. May as well throw in video game and movie rental stores. With inexpensive mail rental options, these stores have no chance. I can see warehouses popping up where they store inventory, or perhaps mini-storefronts put on existing warehouses, where people can “manually” return their rentals/purchases to speed up the process. I think the only thing keeping toy stores alive is the simple fact that kids can touch and play with the toys. Otherwise, may as well buy them online. As for malls, I’m sure you live near one where only 30% of the spaces are being rented; these will start dropping like flies.
- Mashups Explode in Popularity. A mashup is a web application that provides it’s own content/data as well as content/data from other sources into one cohesive service. Examples of mashups are Zillow, WikiCrimes, SkiBonk, Big Contacts, and WiiNearby.
- Small Business and Freelance Explosion. Ok, I’m cheating with a 6th. With the recession on, unemployment is going to continue to rise. Some expect it to hit double digits nationwide. Think about that. What will all those unemployed people do? They will have no choice but to freelance or start their own business. This helps feed the local trend.
Andrew Allemann
Domain Name Wire
- De-leveraging . The trend toward unwinding debt, and all of the bad repercussions, will continue.
- Keeping Down with the Joneses. It used to be that people “kept up with the Joneses” by buying more stuff on credit and leasing cars. It will become fashionable to live within your means.
- Prefab Homes. I’ve been on this trend for a while and think it will take off when real estate rebounds. May not be until 2010-2011.
- Mistrust. Mistrust of government, mistrust of companies. Think extended due-diligence in the wake of Madoff. No more “Jeff is involved, so it must be good.”
- Tiny gadgets. Explosion in purchases of Flip camcorders, GPS units, etc.
James
Namecake.com
- More domainers start developing names - but this isn’t necessarily a positive move for them or the web as a whole. As the majority will be built with poor quality content and they will also find it very difficult to monetize them. People who just focus on one or two projects will also realize it’s a very tough job to build a site into a popular destination.
- SEO and SEM companies will experience a boom as companies, individuals realise this is a much more coste effective way to reach customers. Many people will get ripped off in this area as they search for the magic SEM campaign and company, when all they need is quality content and good links.
- Domains will continue to fall in value. There will be the odd big sale, but they will be few and far between. Now this doesn’t need to be negative as i think the new tld’s are nothing to worry about - they will in fact bring more people to the industry and lay the foundation for a boom in future years.
- Google will grab even more of the search market, but instead of acting with arrogance towards their customers and domainers - i feel they will try to work with us, as we are worth a lot of money to them in Ad revenues.
- The general economy will continue to deteriorate and domainers in need of cash will let go of some superb names very cheap. 2009 will be the year of the bargain. After meeting with various Hedge fund managers (the few remaining) quite a few are bullish on Q4 09, as the various economic stimulatory packages finally filter through to the economy - how long this will last is anyone’s guess as the the fundamental issues still remain and the average man in the street is short of savings and up to his neck in debt.
Jamie Parks
Domain Developer and Live Domainer
- Masses of unemployed and self-employed people all across the world will start seriously questioning all aspects of their lives. Governments, Gods, and what it means to truly do ‘Good’ will be intensely re-examined.
- Socialism will rise via Social Capital Investing. The movement currently driving the Semantic, Social and Mobile webs will expand at an unprecedented rate. Going ‘local’ will continue to foster the ‘green’ energy revolution. RFID, BioMetric, NANO and Ai technologies will be used in various widespread commercial applications.
- Hollywood will be dismantled. Famous people will denounce their ‘fame’ in droves and embrace the Internet despite their contractual agreements. Lots of major chain stores will go out of business and be bought up by realestate speculators.
- The SEC will be investigated. All bailouts will fail. New currencies and monetary systems will be explored. The structure of the American Tax system will be radically re-designed to distribute the national wealth more fairly, starting with health care.
- The citizens of the world will continue to revolt until the illegal occupation of Iraq and Afghanistan ends. Veterans of all wars will use the web to speak out and share their experiences and opinions. Ideas of the devolution of WAR will be mentioned in the mainstream traditional medias. The U.S. Military will re-define it’s foreign policy. The Revolution will continue to be televised. Truth + Transparency + Accountability + Action = REAL CHANGE. Quite simple really…
Stephen Douglas
Vice President of Business Development
WhyPark.com - “Domain Content Development Leader”
President
Successclick.com
“Successful Domain Management™”
- The focus on building content and customization on domains in order to get them indexed on search engines.
- New niche technologies that have yet to be defined in the popular vernacular - pay attention and nab the generic descriptive domains for big payouts!
- Parking services expanding to include multiple revenue resources and features beyond simple PPC links from Google and Yahoo.
- More involvement from end user buyers, based on increased domainers’ efforts to educate the ad and marketing industry on domain name value.
- The dedicated and smart domainers surviving, and the “want to be rich quick” domain investors disappearing. Serious domainers will rise to great profits based on smart thinking, education, evaluation of opportunities, and understanding the total concept of a domain’s assets.
thevirtual
Member of DNForum
- Alternative energy
- Mobile internet
- GPS
- Wifi
- Space travel
Krossat
Krossat’s Blog
- Wireless Technology / IT
- Fashion & Lifestyle
- Loans and Mortgages (wrt 2009)
- Tourism & Travel (New locations)
- Alternative Energy / Green Solutions
Neal R. Voron
FractionalDomainingBlog.com
- Social Net Marketing. I expect the growth of Twitter and other social media to accelerate as the Internet marketing community becomes more knowledgeable about it and gets involved. More and more Twitter applications and Twitter-like sites (such as Musebin.com) seem to be launching recently… I see opportunities involving “Social Net Optimization” and social net applications.
- Personal Social Community Building. More people will be developing ongoing interactive communities on Twitter, etc. based upon their ability to personally connect with people… BTW, the key to effectively utilizing social communities like Twitter is to make meaningful connections with people — not just building a high number of followers, according to Warren Whitlock (@WarrenWhitlock), co-author of “Twitter Revolution”. Personal interaction and offering value is important.
- Tagging. When did online tags start being used? It doesn’t seem that long ago, and the practice accelerated in 2008. I expect the trend to explode in 2009 as Internet marketers and others see opportunities in philanthropic tag, reciprocal tagging, blog-tag, and many aspects that have not been addressed yet. (I’ve got some great tagging-related domains if anyone has grand visions of addressing this area!)
- Generic Personal Branding. When people do not know you by name, it’s often easier to attract attention to yourself and your niche by using a name like “Mr. Positive” (MrPositive.com), or more recently, “Girl In Your Shirt” (GirlInYourShirt.com). I expect this trend to continue in 2009 as more people seek ways to make a statement, stand out, and draw targeted attention to themselves.
- Investment Scrutiny. In the aftermath of government bailouts of various companies and sectors in 2008, as well the Madoff investment scheme scandal, it’s perhaps more evident than ever how important investment scrutiny is, and it’s a trend that will surely get a lot more media attention throughout 2009.
Owen Frager
Frager Factor
- To compete for consumer dollars, hardware manufacturers will have to contend with the new kid on the block: cloud computing. Under this model, consumers “rent” storage space through a service provider, such as Amazon’s (Nasdaq: AMZN) Elastic Compute Cloud or Apple’s (Nasdaq: AAPL) MobileMe service. Earlier this year, EMC (NYSE: EMC) heralded its intentions to enter the consumer cloud computing space when it acquired Pi, a developer of personal information management software.
- Even in a down market, the need for storage continues to rise. Think of all the resumes and virtual home tours being posted right now. Longer-term investors who take the time to research which companies are best able to capitalize on this trend may find some bargains at today’s price levels.
Sammy Ashouri
Fka200
- Bigger Economic Crisis. I just don’t see the mess we’re in ending. I think parts of 2009 are going to be bad considering that it’s harder to find a job and gas prices are slowly going back up.
- Some new revolutionary Apple product. Not exactly sure what it might do/be, but I think Apple might release some cool tech this year.
- The Large Hadron Collider. I think that we’re going to see something REALLY interesting with this once it’s operated.
- Americans will be a bit more united. I’m not exactly sure why, but I have this belief (or small hope?) that we as Americans will just unify in some way. There’s been a lot of separation amongst different groups, but seriously… with all the events going on around us, I think Americans will realize that we need to support one another to remain the strongest nation in the world.
- Year of the Green. I’ve been noticing a lot more “go green” advertisements/companies following along. I think 2009 is going to be a huge year for this “new trend” of being environmentally friendly. And I’m not saying just like somewhat noticeable, I’m really thinking some big explosion where all of a sudden it’s extremely cool to be “green”.
Kevin Jackson
eBusinessDomains
- Increased Demand Geo Domains. As more and more local newspapers shut down their operations due to increased cost and decreasing revenues, the focus will shift to an online presence. Locals will turn to websites serving their own communities, with news, products and services. This will result in an increased demand for geo domains.
- Web Development Will Be More Popular. With the demise of domain parking revenues, domainers will seek to find alternatives to domain parking. This will result in the development of more full scale websites, as well as mini sites, for those with huge domain portfolios.
- Domain Aftermarket Will Still Flourish. Domains will continue to be in high demand. However, we will see more domains selling in the low $x,xxx than in the high $xx,xxx, as this demand will be from Small Business Enterprises or home business entrepreneurs.
- Domain Auctions. Domain auctions will continue to be a very popular way of marketing and selling domain names. As more domainers seek liquidity than profits, we will see more great domain names being offered at zero-reserve.
Special thanks to you guys for taking the time to participate.
Subscribe to TrendDomaining.com using your favorite reader!
Related:CNN Money’s Actual Top 100 Places To Live for 2008
Comments
8 Responses to “2009 Predictions From Various Domainers That You Can’t Live Without!”
Leave a Reply
[...] ccTLDs having a good year. Trendwatching in 2009? Have a look at Scott Griffe’s latest TrendDomaining.com post for some [...]
Great job Scott! Thanks for sharing this with the domain community
Great Post, good job Scott. I must agree with Reece, thanks for sharing this with the domain community.
All have great things to say and I do feel that 2009 will be a year to remember. The subprime mess had hit the fan but a little over a trillion dollars of Alt A and Option Arm mortgages are coming to sworm the market in a negative way in the next 2 years. There are a tad less then a trillin option arm mortgages(teaser rates such as 1%) that are going to recast in the next 2 years. Meaning when one is comfortable of paying $1000 per month on their option arm mortgage then the payment will adjust or recast to almost double or tripple in most cases, and thats when we are going to see more deliquences and an in flux of more foreclosures, as if we dont have enough. So cash is king , stay liquid, lets get passed this mortgage mess, be choosy as to what you buy, I’m being so careful when buying names, I will research the name to death before I make a bid. As the new theme in domaining, “development”, thats what we need to concentrate on.
Happy New year, keep up the good work.
http://www.NamePursuit.com
***EDIT***
You’re welcome, Steve. Yea, the housing market looks like it could be scary for a while. I’ve also cut back on my purchasing of domain names; it may be more due to low cash flow during the holidays, but cutting back seems to be a common trend these days.
Thanks for commenting!
-Scott
I read the same newspapers and listen to the same news like everyone else. But I also read the Bible and from there I will venture my prediction.
Firstly, try as we may, no one can accurately predict the future.
Having established that fact I will venture the following expectations for 2009. Some of the things I will say have already been said above so if I repeat it here, I am only echoeing what has already been said.
1. More people will realize that it is no longer cool to just sit on your name. A lot of names will be developed in this period and a few champions will arise.
2. Walmart and thrift stores will become even bigger as people search for bargains.
3. Webdesigners and like will do ok as more people flock to the web. Vowels.me will grow
4. I really think sitting on domains are out.
5. My fear, a lot of legal hijackings will take place. This might be a new way for lawyers to suplement their income. Even divorce lawyers have seen a fall in business recently.
6. I believe people will draw nearer to God as they seek and search for answers.
Where do I get my inspiration to face all this?
The verse below:
“He who watches the wind will not sow and he who looks at the clouds will not reap.” Ecclesiastes 11:4
***EDIT***
Thanks for adding some more predictions Frankie! I strongly agree with #1 there. Domainers already knew that development was the next step, it’s just that more are now starting to try it.
Thanks!
-Scott
Scott, Thanks for the opportunity to submit a few lines. Quite the insightful bunch we are. Wish more people would have had time to chime in.
@Frankie Aladi - What happens when you become the wind and the clouds?
Thanks again Scott for asking me to share my ideas on your blog. It was fun, and a great insight to see what a lot of the other bloggers I keep up with think about 2009.
[...] and are now looking to get rid of it. For a post on Trend Domaining, I even made a little 2009 predicition that Apple was going to release some sort of new revolutionairy product… like either the [...]
[...] stronger ccTLDs having a good year. Trendwatching in 2009? Have a look at Scott Griffes’ latest TrendDomaining.com post for some [...]